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IonQ Falls 9% After a $1.3 Billion All-Stock Deal: What Shareholder Dilution Means for You

Quantum computing company IonQ agreed to buy cybersecurity firm Elisity for up to $1.3 billion in stock, and its shares fell about 9%. Here's why paying with stock can hurt existing shareholders.

By Kiara Miller, Founder & Editor

Published · Last reviewed: · 3 min read

IonQ's headquarters building in College Park, Maryland
Photo: Blacktupelo via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

The quantum computing company is paying for a cybersecurity acquisition entirely with new shares, and investors didn't like the math.

Shares of IonQ, one of the best-known quantum computing companies, fell about 9% to around $36 in morning trading on Monday, Oct. 12, after it announced a deal to buy cybersecurity company Elisity for up to $1.3 billion, paid entirely in IonQ stock. Other quantum stocks, including D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing, fell about 4% in sympathy.

What IonQ is buying

Elisity is a privately held security company founded in 2019. It sells "Zero Trust" software, an approach to cybersecurity that assumes no user or device should be trusted automatically, even inside a company's network. Its platform limits each user, device, workload and AI agent to only the access it needs, which can stop an attacker from spreading after breaking in. Elisity says it has more than 100 customer deployments worldwide.

IonQ's reasoning ties back to quantum computing. Powerful future quantum computers could break much of the encryption that protects data today, a moment the industry calls "Q-Day." IonQ wants to combine Elisity's security tools with defenses designed for that era. "Q-Day is coming much faster than predicted," IonQ CEO Niccolo de Masi said in the announcement.

The deal is valued at up to $1.3 billion, including up to $150 million in extra payments, called an earnout, that depend on Elisity's future performance. It's expected to close in the fourth quarter, pending regulatory approval.

Why the stock fell: dilution

The main reason for the drop is how IonQ is paying. In an all-stock deal, the buyer issues new shares and gives them to the sellers instead of cash. That increases the total number of shares, so each existing share represents a slightly smaller slice of the company. This is called dilution.

Think of a pizza cut into eight slices. If the owner cuts it into ten slices instead, each slice is smaller, even though the pizza hasn't changed. Unless the acquisition makes the whole company more valuable, existing shareholders end up with less.

The number of new IonQ shares will be set at closing based on the stock's average price over 20 trading days, within a range of $33.07 to $49.61 a share. Because the stock fell after the announcement, IonQ may have to issue more shares than it would have at a higher price. The deal also moves IonQ into cybersecurity, a business outside its core quantum computing work, which adds uncertainty. The stock was already down about 19% this year before the news.

What this means for your wallet

If you own shares in a company, it's worth paying attention to how it pays for deals and how often it issues new stock. Frequent share issuance can steadily shrink your ownership, even if the business is growing. You can check a company's share count over time in its quarterly reports.

Quantum computing stocks are known for big price swings. They are early-stage businesses whose value rests largely on expectations about the future. If you invest in them, consider keeping it to a small portion of your money that you could afford to see drop sharply, and keep the core of your portfolio in diversified investments.

This article is for education only and is not financial advice. Everyone's situation is different.

Content on The Evergreen Edit is for educational and informational purposes only and is not individualized financial, investment, tax or legal advice. Learn more.

This article is for educational purposes only and isn't personalized financial, tax or legal advice. Consider talking with a qualified professional about your situation.

Kiara Miller

Kiara Miller — Founder & Editor

Kiara Miller is the founder and editor of The Evergreen Edit. He has been doing independent finance research for two decades and reviews every article before it's published.

More about Kiara →

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